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Mozambique conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published.
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 30 organized-violence events in Mozambique, up +88% from 16 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 110.
The 12-month total for Mozambique stands at 126 events and 450 estimated deaths. That is -43% on the previous 12 months. 66% of events were classed as one-sided violence against civilians. Civilian deaths in the same period: 222.
Violence in the last 90 days was concentrated in Cabo Delgado province (25), which together account for 83% of recorded events.
The most frequently recorded parties over the last 12 months were IS, Government of Mozambique, Naparama.
Events in Mozambique, last 90 days
Monthly trend
Most affected regions
| Region | Events, 90d | Change | Events, 12m | Deaths, 12m | Last event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabo Delgado province | 25 | +56% | 112 | 413 | 24 Jul 2026 |
| Nampula province | 0 | — | 7 | 25 | 28 Dec 2025 |
9 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based | 27 |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based | 18 |
| 16 May 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | IS vs Naparama Non-state | 14 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based | 6 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based | 5 |
| 2 Jun 2026 | Inhambane province | Government of Mozambique vs Civilians One-sided, 5 civilian | 5 |
| 8 May 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | IS vs Civilians One-sided, 4 civilian | 4 |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | Government of Mozambique vs IS State-based | 2 |
| 16 Jun 2026 | Tete province | Government of Mozambique vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Cabo Delgado province | IS vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| IS | 109 | 392 |
| Government of Mozambique | 55 | 274 |
| Naparama | 5 | 20 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 38 | 30% |
| Non-state conflict | 5 | 4% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 83 | 66% |
Long-run view: events per year
| Year | Events | Est. deaths | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 3 | 3 | |
| 2018 | 48 | 171 | |
| 2019 | 124 | 597 | |
| 2020 | 213 | 1,627 | |
| 2021 | 235 | 1,918 | |
| 2022 | 268 | 728 | |
| 2023 | 102 | 273 | |
| 2024 | 185 | 522 | |
| 2025 | 184 | 610 | |
| 2026 (to date) | 50 | 206 |
Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.
Recent reports and news
Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)
- Mozambique: Voucher-based food assistance for a returnee family ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- ESAHF Mozambique 2025 Annual Report ReliefWeb, 11 Sep 2026
- Mozambique: Acute Malnutrition Situation for April–September 2026 and Projection for October 2026–March 2027 [EN/PT] ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026
- Mozambique: IPC Acute Food Insecurity Snapshot | April 2026 - March 2027 [EN/PT] ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026
- Mozambique Conflict Monitor Update: September 2026 ReliefWeb, 8 Sep 2026
- Mozambique: Humanitarian Operational Presence (HNRP and Non-HRNP) - Who's doing, What, Where (3W), as of July 2026 [EN/PT] ReliefWeb, 8 Sep 2026
- Mozambique: 2026 Flood Humanitarian Response - as of July 2026 [EN/PT] ReliefWeb, 8 Sep 2026
- Mozambique: 2026 Humanitarian Response (Conflict), Overview (as July 2026) [EN/PT] ReliefWeb, 8 Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Mozambique in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 126 organized-violence events in Mozambique between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 450 deaths.
Is violence in Mozambique increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (30) were up +88% on the preceding 90 days (16).
Which regions of Mozambique are most affected?
Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Cabo Delgado province (25).
What kind of violence is recorded in Mozambique?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Mozambique, 66% of events over the last 12 months were one-sided violence against civilians.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.