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Ethiopia conflict statistics

Name: Ethiopia conflict event statistics
Creator: Uppsala Conflict Data Program
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published.

50events, last 30 days

175events, last 90 days▼ -28% vs prior 90 days

893events, last 12 months

5,301est. deaths, last 12 months573 civilians

Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 175 organized-violence events in Ethiopia, down -28% from 242 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 774.

Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 893 events and 5,301 estimated deaths were recorded in Ethiopia. That is -36% on the previous 12 months. 76% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 573.

The most affected areas over the last 90 days were Amhara state (92), Oromiya state (64), Tigray state (6). Together they hold 93% of the period's events.

The most frequently recorded parties over the last 12 months were Government of Ethiopia, Fano, OLA.

Events in Ethiopia, last 90 days

Recorded organized-violence events in Ethiopia, 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutline: Natural Earth.

Monthly trend

Recorded events per month in Ethiopia, last 24 months

Estimated deaths per month in Ethiopia, last 24 months

Most affected regions

Region	Events, 90d	Change	Events, 12m	Deaths, 12m	Last event
Amhara state	92	-44%	547	3,988	30 Jul 2026
Oromiya state	64	0%	257	824	28 Jul 2026
Tigray state	6	-14%	46	43	21 Jun 2026
Benishangul-Gumuz state	4	0%	13	164	12 Jul 2026
South Ethiopia regional state	2	0%	5	22	4 Jul 2026
Gambella state	1	new	12	156	21 Jul 2026

7 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.

Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days

Date	Where	Parties	Est. deaths
17 Jun 2026	Amhara state	Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based	58
17 Jun 2026	Amhara state	Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based	58
17 Jun 2026	Amhara state	Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based	57
17 Jun 2026	Amhara state	Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based	57
12 May 2026	Benishangul-Gumuz state	Government of Ethiopia vs GFNF State-based, 30 civilian	33
14 May 2026	Amhara state	Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based	31
11 Jul 2026	Amhara state	Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based	30
9 May 2026	Amhara state	Government of Ethiopia vs Fano State-based	24
19 Jul 2026	Oromiya state	Guji vs Sidama Non-state	22
28 Jul 2026	Oromiya state	Government of Ethiopia vs OLA State-based	18

Most recorded parties, last 12 months

Party	Events	Est. deaths in those events
Government of Ethiopia	816	4,841
Fano	567	4,123
OLA	88	538
XXX530	40	94
TPLF	38	55
Anuak	11	155

Type of violence, last 12 months

Category	Events	Share
State-based armed conflict	679	76%
Non-state conflict	33	4%
One-sided violence against civilians	181	20%

Long-run view: events per year

Year	Events	Est. deaths
2017	41	488
2018	63	713
2019	63	425
2020	264	24,430
2021	730	129,516
2022	879	165,025
2023	581	2,383
2024	882	4,159
2025	1,281	5,458
2026 (to date)	513	2,504

Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.

Recent reports and news

Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)

Ethiopia: Emergency Medical Teams experts from three regions strengthen multidisciplinary approaches to outbreak response ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
Ethiopia: Improved IPC and WASH facilities make healthcare safer at Moyale hospital ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
Ethiopia Food Security Outlook Update: Historically poor kiremt rainfall linked to El Niño drives meher crop losses, August 2026 - January 2027 ReliefWeb, 11 Sep 2026
Ethiopia: Renewed Escalation Demands Urgent International Action to Prevent Further Atrocities ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026
Ethiopia: Facts and figures, January - June 2026 ReliefWeb, 4 Sep 2026
WFP Ethiopia Country Brief August 2026 ReliefWeb, 28 Aug 2026
RBESA Ethiopia Situation: Population of Concern to UNHCR - 31 July 2026 ReliefWeb, 28 Aug 2026
Republic of Korea and WFP deliver critical food assistance to 100,000 refugees and host communities in Ethiopia ReliefWeb, 27 Aug 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many conflict events were recorded in Ethiopia in the last 12 months?

UCDP recorded 893 organized-violence events in Ethiopia between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 5,301 deaths.

Is violence in Ethiopia increasing or decreasing?

Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (175) were down -28% from the preceding 90 days (242).

Which regions of Ethiopia are most affected?

Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Amhara state (92), Oromiya state (64), Tigray state (6), Benishangul-Gumuz state (4), South Ethiopia regional state (2).

What kind of violence is recorded in Ethiopia?

UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Ethiopia, 76% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.

Where does this data come from?

Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.

Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.